Date:20 July 2022
- ● Office for Manipulated Statistics
- ● Down under
- ● Take-homes
- ● A pandemic of the heavily boosted
By Rob Verkerk PhD, founder, executive & scientific director, ANH-Intl
Go on – you may have been in two minds – but that’s only because you’ve had a bad case of cognitive dissonance no thanks to all those terrible, twisted, conspiracy theorists! Check out the official data for England from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) – and you’ll see clear evidence for why you need to get your jabs up-to-date. You’ll be over 13 times less likely to die from a death involving COVID-19. Your all-cause mortality risks, even, will be around two and a half times lower if you’re fully jabbed – isn’t that something of a bonus?
Office for Manipulated Statistics
For the data hungry among you, it’s all there in Table 3 from the latest edition of the “Deaths by vaccination status, England” dataset courtesy of the ONS’s National Immunisation Management Service (NIMS).
Look beneath the surface of these data and you’ll find a problem, however. A fatal problem. The same dataset also tells you that you’ll be 65% more likely to die from non-COVID-19 deaths if your jabs are fully up-to-date, compared with being unvaccinated.
That simply can’t be! You can’t be that much more likely to die from non-COVID-19 causes, unless you make it appear that way because your numbers got jumbled deliberately or accidentally along the way.
This one faulty statistic stands as a stark reminder that all the ONS data for England – that are relied on well beyond the territorial boundaries of England and even the UK – are flawed. That in turn means that data that might have convinced you or your loved ones to roll up their sleeves is WRONG. Plain and simple. This latter point on non-COVID-19 deaths has been drawn to our attention by none other than Profs Norman Fenton and Martin Neil from Queen Mary University of London in a recent article.
We’ve gone back to the original data that includes the latest edition of the dataset that takes in the entire period of UK vaccination from January 2021 through to May 2022, in Table 3 of the ONS dataset, and we’ve summarised it in the Table 1 below for your viewing pleasure. The non-COVID-19 mortality data is in indicated in bold to remind you of its impossibility and that makes the rest of the data flawed too because covid-19 and non-covid-19 mortality data are not independent of each other.
Table 1. Summary mortality data from the ONS for the period January 2021 to May 2022
|Statistic||COVID-19 vaccination status||ASMR (per 100k person-years)||% increased risk of death for unvaccinated compared with fully vaccinated|
|Deaths involving COVID-19||Unvaccinated||863.2||1338.3|
Profs Fenton and Neil have previously explained, here and here, how these data were corrupted. They now also show that the figure of 1474 deaths per 100,000 person years have been massively bumped up from those in recent history, looking more or less on par with those of the fully vaccinated (see the second table in Profs Fenton and Neil’s latest article). One wonders how the public would have responded had the misallocations occurred in the opposite direction? In fact, we know how they’d respond – and so do those responsible for implementing or ignoring the data manipulation.
Now let’s leapfrog across our beautiful, yet humanity-stressed, blue planet, from England to New South Wales (NSW), Australia, a part of the world that I was fortunate to able to call home for over a decade.
With over 95% of the NSW population having received at least one jab, NSW health minister Brad Hazzard has slammed the over 30% of the 8 million people of NSW saying they need to “wake up”, “switch off…social media and switch on reality”, and stop being so selfish.
Numbers of people in NSW hospitals with COVID-19 is clearly on the rise, moving towards the second highest peak since the start of the year (see Figure below). Is it those infernal unvaccinated causing the problem again?
Figure 1. Number of people in New South Wales hospitals with COVID-19 by day, 1 January to 9 July 2022. Source: NSW COVID-19 Weekly Data Overview
Well, yes, it would seem this is the official line. The latest surveillance report suggests the new waves of BA.4 and BA.5 Omicron subvariants are responsible, highlighting the recent upward trend that includes a 17% increase in hospitalisations (1,658 to 1,946) just in the last week.
The big message is the same as in England. Go get jabbed. Take this statement from the surveillance report, for example:
“Of the 95 people who were reported to have died with COVID-19, all were eligible for a third dose of a COVID- 19 vaccine but only 62 (65% of those eligible) had received a third dose.”
You can find contrary messages in the same report if you look for them. Take this sentence that reminds us that none of the six people under 65 who died with COVID-19 were either healthy or unvaccinated:
“Six people aged under 65 years died with COVID-19. All six cases had record of significant underlying health conditions that increase the risk of severe disease from COVID-19.– Four of these cases had received 3 doses of a vaccine.
– Two of these cases had received 2 doses of a vaccine.”
Digging beneath the surface reveals more problems with the official rhetoric.
The official NSW data from the last 7 weeks – when NSW is meant to be grappling with the ‘super-contagious’ BA.4 and BA.5 Omicron subvariants – shows that people who had been vaccinated one (minimum) to four (maximum) times against COVID-19, were 45 times more likely to be hospitalised than if they were unvaccinated. This was brought to our attention by analyst, Joel Smalley in a 19 July Substack post. Joel links to a powerful interactive app that allows anyone to play with the official NSW data on hospitalisations and deaths.
So this (Fig. 2, below) is what the last 7 weeks of data look like, in terms of hospitalisations (both ICU and non-ICU). The tall green bars show us hospitalisation from 4 or more doses of COVID-19 ‘vaccines’, while the first bar in each time series (mid-blue) shows us the hospitalisations among the unvaccinated. The data are standardised per 1 million population so we remove bias given that so many are vaccinated with one or more doses, and so few are not. You don’t need to be a rocket scientist to see the mid-blue “no dose’ bars are relatively unchanged over the last 6 weeks and the green bars are going skyward.
It’s some of the most interesting data we’ve seen so far pointing to a dose-response issue – the more doses the more vulnerable you are to hospitalisation. Not what the NSW government are telling the public, despite this being their data.
Figure 2. Rate of hospitalisation (ICU and non-ICU) depending on vaccination status from 28 May through to 9 July 2022. Multiplier between unvaccinated and vaccinated highlighted in red rectangle.
Of course, we’re dealing with a moving target. So the same official NSW government data source during the earlier Delta phase of 2021 showed a different picture, captured by Reuters last November. Back then, the NSW data suggested the unvaccinated were 16 times more likely to end up in intensive care units or die.
The official NSW data over the last 7 weeks in which Omicron has been displacing Delta, show a different picture as revealed by the data we show in Figure 2. When we select just ICU hospitalisations and deaths – to allow comparison with the 16-fold statistic cited by Reuters last November above – we now find you’re 31% more likely to go into intensive care or die if you’re vaccinated, as you can see in the Figure 3 (red rectangle). But Hazzard and co are silent on this. One wonders (or knows) why.
Figure 3. Rate of hospitalisation in ICU and deaths depending on vaccination status from 28 May through to 9 July 2022. Multiplier between unvaccinated and vaccinated highlighted in red rectangle.
It gets worse when you compare the extreme ends of the official NSW dose-response data: the unvaccinated versus those vaccinated with 4 or more doses.
We’ve done this in Table 2.
Table 2. Hospitalisations and deaths in NSW among those who have received no COVID-19 vaccinations, and those who have received one or 4 or more doses. Data source: Official NSW data.
|A. Hospitalisations (ICU and non-ICU)|
|Date||No dose||1 dose||4+ doses|
|Date||No dose||1 dose||4+ doses|
The take-homes are staring at us in the face. But what they don’t do is explain underlying causes. Whether you look at hospitalisations or deaths, those who’re vaccinated with 4 or more doses are the worst off. How much of that is because the vaccinations are negatively impacting their health and resilience, and how much is because those who are heavily boosted are already more prone to hospitalisation or death is anyone’s guess. But what can’t be hidden is that people who’ve received 4 doses plus are around 100 times more likely to be hospitalised than those who’re unvaccinated. This difference is a massive 2 orders of magnitude that is likely to include a hefty (read: real) signal regardless of how dirty or confounded the underlying data are. We also see what appears to be a clear dose-response – the more doses, the more likely you are to be hospitalised. Are people who are more vulnerable opting for more doses, or are the doses contributing directly to the hospitalisation.
Those who’ve received 4 plus doses are of course not necessarily representative of the COVID-19 vaccination-free populations. Perhaps they’re people who are older, more vulnerable, with weaker (ageing, senescing) immune systems. But the notion that they’re being protected by these genetic vaccines is hard to justify with these data. If anything, it looks like they might be considerably worse off.
The mortality data aren’t as clear as those for hospitalisations, because the 1 dose recipients appear the best off. This may be real, or it may be anomalous, bearing in mind the difference is less than one order of magnitude. But should we ignore the difference between deaths among the unvaccinated and the ones injected 4 or more times? There’s 1.75-fold more deaths among those with 4 plus COVID-19 injections compared with those unvaccinated. However you choose to interpret these data, it’s impossible to use them to suggest that people who’ve had 4 jabs are better off than those who are unvaccinated.
Another take-home: we see no evidence here or elsewhere at this point in time that suggests this is now a pandemic of the unvaccinated.
A pandemic of the heavily boosted
It seems the official NSW data already tell us the opposite: this is rapidly becoming a ‘pandemic of the vaccinated’ and more specifically the heavily boosted. The risks to this group of course go well beyond just COVID-19. The public is just not being informed of the reality – and public health authorities continue to beat the same drum using a defective narrative. The English data appear different at the surface, but there is clear evidence of data manipulation.
Even the emerging science is beginning to explain why an ever greater number of COVID-19 jabs is likely to contribute to greater risks for recipients. Possible mechanisms include innate immune erosion, original antigenic sin, and T cell dysregulation.
Many of us are coming to the conclusion that we’re living through the greatest ever manipulation of science, given the sheer number of people involved. Anyone who still buys into the idea we can still vaccinate ourselves out of this surreal construct we have learned to call a ‘pandemic’ is likely to benefit from taking a close look at the English and NSW data discussed here, data that have been held in great esteem by authorities around the world.
Time to take a reality check. Or can you turn a blind eye and accept the same reality Brad Hazzard talks of, in the belief that more and more COVID-19 vaccination will be the solution to COVID-19 and regaining normality?
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